Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.780729 6.513717 7.315780 8.260501 9.345259 10.554677 12.009131
2024-12-22 4.636697 5.582535 6.697709 8.116755 9.884605 12.027586 14.841916
2024-12-29 4.119741 5.218746 6.591472 8.447608 10.915577 14.117478 18.640188
2025-01-05 3.626728 4.782161 6.293006 8.438133 11.445716 15.572739 21.769399
2025-01-12 3.230894 4.405815 6.002588 8.365972 11.834326 16.831683 24.750622
2025-01-19 2.787363 3.906062 5.475006 7.877966 11.540519 17.037955 26.156468
2025-01-26 2.570800 3.699402 5.331597 7.916982 12.008485 18.406377 29.520385
2025-02-02 2.445921 3.610141 5.344247 8.181992 12.840560 20.424639 34.218946
2025-02-09 2.310240 3.488892 5.292052 8.331834 13.493203 22.215717 38.778895
2025-02-16 2.181332 3.364495 5.219850 8.435384 14.070484 23.935721 43.454459
2025-02-23 2.064311 3.247404 5.146116 8.523779 14.623249 25.667978 48.404157
2025-03-02 1.895692 3.031773 4.890830 8.271597 14.534175 26.206197 51.069146
2025-03-09 1.774437 2.888344 4.749489 8.215312 14.815078 27.508638 55.582894
2025-03-16 1.659044 2.745853 4.597887 8.125504 15.022736 28.696679 60.063844
2025-03-23 1.622657 2.736443 4.677184 8.469751 16.112136 31.800893 69.347608
2025-03-30 1.537023 2.632921 4.578432 8.463274 16.494222 33.478194 75.634060
2025-04-06 1.450071 2.520233 4.453227 8.391569 16.730539 34.867613 81.474101
2025-04-13 1.315858 2.311677 4.133671 7.902035 16.025655 34.071682 81.680193
2025-04-20 1.259847 2.244501 4.076591 7.941222 16.471776 35.959560 89.207050
2025-04-27 1.234895 2.233829 4.126859 8.207158 17.451504 39.235226 101.136004
2025-05-04 1.197976 2.197370 4.123263 8.357523 18.184299 42.017725 112.278306
2025-05-11 1.158352 2.152746 4.099621 8.461435 18.819572 44.647387 123.547239
2025-05-18 1.119687 2.107286 4.070599 8.550138 19.428095 47.296548 135.469790